![]() The source of problems was the low weight assigned to friendly matches, or friendlies, i.e., matches that are not part of any official FIFA tournament or preliminaries, versus the preliminaries of both the World Cup and the regional Federation Cups (the multiplier of 1 versus 2.5). Among a variety of its counterintuitive properties was a very poor treatment of tournament hosts. I investigate the paradoxes associated with the former FIFA ranking. However, as discussed here, a given host’s low ranking could decrease interest in the tournament, and likely result in a major loss of advertisement revenue. Such an estimate counteracts the intuition that a large investment in hosting a tournament should result in an improvement in the host team’s standing. Here, I present three models that estimate the magnitude of the resulting “host effect” at 14.2–16 positions. For a long time, host teams, which were absent from preliminary matches, would play only friendly matches that awarded few points. The most spectacular paradox was the dramatic underrating of the hosts of major tournaments. The ranking has been plagued with paradoxes that incentivize teams to avoid playing friendly matches, i.e., matches that are not part of any official FIFA tournament or preliminaries, and applying other counterintuitive strategies. ![]() I investigate the paradoxes associated with the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) point-based ranking of national soccer teams.
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